Marché immobilier résidentiel de Montréal : actualités

[LindbergMTL]

Les prophètes de malheurs font vendre du papier. Regardez ceci: http://www.newsmaxworld.com/the_americas/financial_schiff_wiedemer/2012/07/03/460068.html

 

Faut-il les prendre au sérieux? Ont-ils un impact sur la volatilité des marchés?

[monctezuma]

L'unifamiliale regagne la faveur des Montréalais

 

Publié le 07 août 2012 à 11h08 | Mis à jour à 11h08

 

Maxime Bergeron

 

La Presse

 

La maison unifamiliale a affiché une meilleure performance que la copropriété pour un cinquième mois consécutif à Montréal. Les ventes de propriétés individuelles ont grimpé de 6% en juillet dans la région métropolitaine, tandis que celles de condos ont avancé de 1%, a indiqué ce matin la Chambre immobilière du Grand Montréal (CIGM). Un revirement de tendance majeur par rapport aux dernières années.

 

«Ces résultats tranchent avec ceux auxquels nous étions habitués ces dernières années, la copropriété ayant obtenu les meilleures performances à tous les mois entre octobre 2009 et novembre 2011 inclusivement», a fait valoir Patrick Juanéda, président du conseil d'administration de la CIGM, dans le rapport publié ce matin.

 

Malgré la popularité plus grande des unifamiliales, leur prix médian a stagné en juillet dans la région métropolitaine, à 275 000$. Dans l'île, les maisons détachées -une denrée de plus en plus rare- ont vu leur valeur bondir de 8% depuis un an, à 385 000$.

 

La Rive-Sud et Vaudreuil-Soulanges ont quant à elles observé des baisses de prix de 2% dans le segment de l'unifamiliale en juillet.

 

> Lire la suite sur Le Blogue De L'Immobilier avec Maxime Bergeron

[IluvMTL]

http://affaires.lapresse.ca/economie/macro-economie/201209/11/01-4572974-des-condos-encore-des-condos.php?utm_categorieinterne=trafficdrivers&utm_contenuinterne=lapresseaffaires_LA5_nouvelles_98718_accueil_POS7

 

(Montréal) Les grues observées aux quatre coins de l'île de Montréal ne mentent pas: les mises en chantier de condos ont explosé de 238% le mois dernier, et elles affichent une hausse cumulative de 26,5% depuis le début de l'année.

 

En tout, 551 copropriétés ont été entamées pendant le mois dernier dans l'île, comparativement à 163 à la même période l'an dernier, a indiqué hier la Société canadienne d'hypothèques et de logement (SCHL). Pendant les huit premiers mois de l'année, les mises en chantier de condos ont totalisé 4164, comparativement à 3291 un an plus tôt. Une progression trop vive, au moment où le marché de la revente présente des signes de ralentissement, avance Marc Pinsonneault, économiste principal à la Banque Nationale.

 

«Ça reste élevé et je persiste à dire que ça ne peut pas continuer comme ça», a fait valoir l'économiste à La Presse Affaires.

 

M. Pinsonneault souligne que les inscriptions en vigueur - soit les condos offerts sur le marché de la revente - ont grimpé de 17% depuis un an dans le Grand Montréal. Il faudrait 10 mois pour écouler toutes ces unités, dit-il, alors que la moyenne historique est de 7,3 mois.

 

«Je me dis qu'à un moment donné, les promoteurs vont bien prendre connaissance de cette information, qui, selon moi, devrait les inciter à la prudence», a avancé l'économiste.

 

Forte prévente... mais après?

 

Une bonne partie des condos mis en chantier en 2012 ont déjà été prévendus par les promoteurs. Ceux-ci attendent en général d'avoir atteint un seuil de 50% ou 60% de prévente avant d'amorcer la construction d'un nouveau complexe.

 

Or, de nombreux projets seront mis en marché au courant de l'automne, dont des tours totalisant environ 2000 condos autour du Centre Bell et plusieurs autres ailleurs au centre-ville et dans Griffintown. Ce sont ces projets qui pourraient subir les contrecoups d'un ralentissement - ou d'une suroffre -, indique l'économiste.

 

Les mises en chantier globales, tous types de propriétés confondus, se sont élevées à 1705 en août dans la région métropolitaine, une hausse de 35% sur un an. Elles ont grimpé de 39% dans l'île, de 43% dans la couronne nord, de 26% sur la Rive-Sud, tandis qu'elles ont reculé de 33% dans Vaudreuil-Soulanges.

 

«La progression de l'activité affichée le mois dernier est de nouveau essentiellement attribuable au segment de la copropriété, a expliqué David L'Heureux, analyste principal de marché à la SCHL pour la RMR de Montréal, dans le rapport. Les mises en chantier de copropriétés comptent maintenant pour près de 60% de la construction dans la RMR.»

 

Pour les huit premiers mois de l'année, les mises en chantier ont reculé de 1% dans le Grand Montréal, avec 13 287 propriétés entamées à ce jour. La tendance annuelle pour 2012 atteignait 21 733 en août, une baisse par rapport aux 23 800 mises en chantier qu'on prévoyait un mois plus tôt, indique la SCHL.

 

Dans l'ensemble du Québec, le nombre de mises en chantier réelles a légèrement augmenté en août ("3,7% sur un an), avec 2807 coulées de béton. La moyenne mobile du nombre mensuel désaisonnalisé et annualisé - une mesure privilégiée par la SCHL - a toutefois baissé à 39 700 en août, alors qu'elle se situait à 44 000 en juillet.

 

Ailleurs au pays

 

À l'échelle canadienne, la performance globale de l'industrie de la construction a surpris les analystes hier. En rythme annualisé, les mises en chantier ont atteint 224 900 en août, un fort bond par rapport aux 208 000 enregistrées en juillet.

 

La construction frénétique de condos neufs à Toronto - qui inquiète plusieurs experts - est en partie responsable de cette vive activité pancanadienne.

 

«Le haut niveau des mises en chantier au Canada, qui devrait normalement être accueilli favorablement, sème plutôt le doute sur la capacité du secteur résidentiel à effectuer un atterrissage en douceur», a indiqué Hélène Bégin, économiste principale chez Desjardins.

 

Robert Kavcic, économiste chez BMO, voit plutôt cette poussée mensuelle assez favorablement. «Ce rapport (de la SCHL) ressemble plus à un artefact historique, puisque les ventes ont commencé à ralentir significativement - restez à l'affût pour un fléchissement graduel des mises en chantier au courant de 2013», a-t-il averti.

[IluvMTL]

MONTREAL — Greater Montreal’s condo market now favours buyers for the first time in 15 years, after the number of units listed for sale soared 25 per cent in March compared to the same month in 2012, the Greater Montreal Real Estate Board said Monday.

 

“Market conditions for condominiums have been relaxing quickly in recent months,” said Diane Ménard, vice-president of the GMREB board of directors, in a statement. “In early 2012, the condominium market still (favoured) sellers slightly, but after a short period in balanced territory the condominium market is now a buyer’s market, both on the island of Montreal and in the suburbs.”

 

Buyers can now choose from 12,623 condos listed for sale in Montreal — nearly double the number of condo apartments and townhouses listed in Canada’s largest real estate market, Greater Toronto — data from both real estate boards show. Montreal, however, has historically had a larger number of condos and homes in all categories for sale at a given time than in Toronto, five years of real estate board data compiled by analyst Ben Rabidoux show.

In Greater Montreal, where the number of total properties for sale has grown by more than 40 per cent over three years to nearly 33,000 in March, some analysts and real estate agencies are forecasting a price drop of three to five per cent in 2013.

 

Since August, the price of a Montreal home has declined 2.1 per cent, according to the Teranet National Bank House Price Index, senior economist Marc Pinsonneault said. Montreal home prices, however, are still up two per cent over 2012, the Teranet index showed in February.

 

The real estate industry continues to blame the federal government’s July tightening of rules governing insured mortgages for the slowdown in Canada’s major markets — Greater Montreal resales were down by 17 per cent last month compared to an especially strong March in 2012.

 

What’s more, Montreal real estate brokers point to a reluctance by sellers to lower their prices to meet demand in a slowing market, where buyers are no longer rushed by the fear of missing out on low interest rates.

 

In its latest quarterly outlook, national real estate services firm Royal LePage said last week it expects Montreal condo prices to drop by up to five per cent during the spring home-buying season, as impatient sellers finally agree to bargain with buyers after months of slowing sales.

 

“Gone are the days of fishing,” said Montreal real estate broker Carly Fridman, in reference to the practice of listing properties at inflated prices with the hope of catching an eager buyer. “You can still make money by selling your house. The market is not collapsing by any means.

 

“But you have to be competitively priced to sell. They (sellers) really have to start listening to the market.”

 

Fridman said buyers — especially those who are looking for a condominium — are no longer as motivated to purchase a home quickly as they were in 2011 when the market was fuelled by the allure of rock-bottom rates.

 

“Interest rates aren’t going up, and if they do go up, they’re rising very slowly,” she said. “Many buyers are still buying, but they’re not in a rush. They want the right price. They’re being picky because they can.”

 

In Greater Montreal, total sales for all types of property were down 18 per cent during the first quarter of 2013, compared to an exceptionally strong first three months of 2012. The median price for a condo on Greater Montreal was flat at $220,000 during the first quarter, while it dipped two per cent on Montreal Island to $255,000.

 

Prices of single-family homes — that market remains balanced in Greater Montreal — grew one per cent during the first quarter of 2013, while rising three per cent on Montreal Island.

 

alampert@montrealgazette.com

 

Twitter: @RealDealMtl

 

© Copyright © The Montreal Gazette

 

 

Read more: http://www.montrealgazette.com/business/Greater+Montreal+buyer+market+condos/8211939/story.html#ixzz2Pv7tL5b8

Modifié 9 avril 2013 par IluvMTL

[peekay]

Another stupid-ass column with no real interesting data. Give us the Ville-Marie numbers god dammit!!! Especially for condos!

Condominiums have traditionally been built for the urban dweller not freaking PAT or Saint Anne de Bellevue!

I want the downtown (Ville-Marie) numbers! Does anyone know where to get them? It's so frustrating.

[IluvMTL]

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/housing/foreign-buyers-propel-montreals-luxury-home-market/article11360465/

 

REAL ESTATE

 

TARA PERKINS - REAL ESTATE REPORTER

 

The Globe and Mail

 

Published Wednesday, Apr. 17 2013, 7:19 PM EDT

Last updated Wednesday, Apr. 17 2013, 7:52 PM EDT

 

 

Roughly half the buyers of luxury homes in Montreal are foreign, Sotheby’s International Realty Canada estimates, after having combed through its own sales data about top-tier dwellings.

 

“Montreal was a bit of a shocker,” chief executive officer Ross McCredie said. “People don’t think of Montreal as having a large proportion of international buyers.”

 

 

GALLERY

In pictures: What luxury homes look like across Canada

 

MARKET VIEW

Video: Market View: Canada’s housing market: Buyer fatigue but no bust

 

 

HOUSING

Video: Advice for home buyers, sellers in a spring market

Sotheby’s decided to conduct a study of Canada’s luxury home market after Mr. McCredie noticed that people were still defining luxury homes as those costing more than $1-million, which he thought was out of date.

 

Obtaining a “luxury” home today will generally cost at least $2-million in Toronto and Calgary, $2.8-million in Vancouver and $3.5-million in Montreal, although there can be variations by neighbourhood, according to the report to be released by Sotheby’s on Thursday. For example, luxury homes in North Vancouver can be had for $2-million, while the entry-level price is about $4-million in west-side neighbourhoods such as Shaughnessey and Kitsilano.

 

Luxury starts at 3,500 square feet in Vancouver, Calgary and downtown Toronto, compared with 5,000 square feet in Montreal and 8,000 square feet in North Toronto, the report says. Mr. McCredie said the quality of the home, and the quality of its location, are bigger determining factors of “luxury” than size.

 

The one thing all luxury homes have in common is that they sit in the most sought-after locations in the country, in line with the old adage about real estate, the report says. “The unequivocal and top-ranked feature of a luxury property in every key market surveyed was deemed as being location,” it says. That can include being close to downtown, near the best schools or having a fabulous view.

 

By and large, the market for such homes is dominated by Canadians; the degree to which foreign buyers are active varies from city to city. In Vancouver, the report suggests that international buyers account for about 40 per cent of luxury home purchases, compared with 15 per cent in Calgary, 25 per cent in Toronto, 49 per cent in Montreal and 25 per cent in recreational and ski markets such as Whistler, B.C., and Mont-Tremblant, Que.

 

“The international buyers in Montreal were very much there for lifestyle and because they loved the city, whereas Toronto, you did see a fairly significant number of wealthy investors who were buying high-end condos,” Mr. McCredie said. “In Toronto, we had a couple of big transactions done, north of $10-million, to people who were under 35 years old. They are buyers who would have bought in the U.S., but decided on Canada as an investment.”

 

The market for recreational properties was hit hard by the financial crisis and recession, but has now stabilized, Sotheby’s said.

 

“We are seeing places like Whistler, which has been very much in a down market for the last six years, starting to pick up, and I think that’s indicative of the Americans starting to buy again,” Mr. McCredie said. “Americans have been in shock for the last four or five years, they’ve been holding on to their cash.”

 

Not surprisingly, the buyers of luxury homes tend to be business owners or work in areas such as finance, investment banking, medicine or law. The majority of such buyers in Vancouver tend to earn between $200,000 and $500,000, while about 20 per cent earn more than $1-million a year, the report says. More than 80 per cent of luxury buyers in Calgary earn at least $500,000, while Toronto’s luxury market has more buyers earning roughly $100,000.

 

Despite the price tags involved, these buyers are more likely to pay in cash. Extras such as wine cellars and theatres are popular.

 

Canadian home sales broadly have been in a slump since last summer, following mortgage insurance rule changes imposed by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty in an effort to halt the sharp increase in consumer debt levels and house prices. While the use of mortgage insurance is less common for luxury homes, one of the rule changes halted the use of mortgage insurance on homes worth more than $1-million.

 

Mr. McCredie said there has been a slowdown in luxury sales lately. “They’re still buying, but they’re taking a little bit longer.”

[ChrisDVD]

J'aime bien cette ligne!

 

'' The international buyers in Montreal were very much there for lifestyle and because they loved the city, whereas Toronto, you did see a fairly significant number of wealthy investors who were buying high-end condos... ”

[Invité Olivier2160]

http://www.lesaffaires.com/mes-finances/immobilier/faut-il-avoir-peur-d-acheter-un-condo-maintenant/556610#.UYEf-aJrjwk

[peekay]

Non. Surtout au centre-ville.

[Invité Olivier2160]

Je suis d'accord !! Passons le mot !