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Malek

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    Pétrole / essence : actualités

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    High gas prices are good news for the planet

    The Gazette

    Published: 9 hours ago

    Just consider the trend you can detect in much recent news coverage: Our American friends drove 3.7 billion fewer miles in May than in the previous May. North American auto-makers are retooling away from SUVs and big cars as fast as they can. Home-buyers are bidding up downtown properties, while showing less interest in commuter suburbs. If you buy a house in some U.S. suburbs the desperate seller will throw in his SUV.

     

    Public transit use is increasing briskly almost everywhere - records are being set even in Los Angeles, that sprawling cathedral of car culture. Fewer cars on the road are already translating into slightly less gridlock and slightly faster commutes and, experts predict, fewer traffic deaths as well. And less driving, in newer, smaller, more fuel-efficient cars, means greenhouse gas emissions will soon start to come under control.

     

    It's all good, and it's all due directly to higher gas prices. True, the sudden run-up in fuel prices has driven up the cost of many goods and services, but once the new price is established, there's no inevitable reason for further inflation.

     

    The moral is that society-wide, almost nothing modifies human behaviour as efficiently as market economics. All those benefits of dwindling fuel use have come to pass not because of some vast and impersonal government bureaucracy, but by the simple efficiency of individuals making private choices in their own circumstances.

     

    Some will keep driving and cut back elsewhere, some will sell the car, some will car-pool. Nobody is compelled; everyone applies his or her own ingenuity to managing this problem best for him- or herself. Nobody can cheat the system, influence the minister, or fiddle the books: provided there's some competition, market prices are astonishingly efficient.

     

    True, pressure on gas prices means that at the margin, some people will not be able to afford a car or to use their car very often. There can be some individual hardship in this, but it's still not an unmitigated disaster for our society.

     

    By one calculation - there are many - Canada had 438 motor vehicles per 1,000 people in 1986 - not a year remembered universally with shudders of horror - but has well over 500 today. Isn't it just as well to stop this growth? Is there an ideal ratio? If so, what? If not, what's wrong with our society reducing car use?

     

     

    ah... la myopie.

     

    Tout est vrai pour ce que dit cet auteur! Mais à court terme.

     

    Il le dit lui même, dans la zone en gras, une fois que les nouveaux prix seront fixés, les gens s'y habitueront (plus d'inflations)... si c'est vrai pour tous les produits et services, pourquoi pas pour l'essence même?

     

    C'est vrai que du jour au lendemain les gens sont prix avec des factures de +40% sur le prix de l'essence, et c'est vrai que ça fait mal vite. Mais à moyen et long terme, les gens vont s'y habituer et vont revenir à leur habitudes.

     

    Pensez-y, à 1,00$ le litre on trouverait ça une aubaine aujourd'hui! Pourtant il y a pas si longtemps ce prix était un symbole de la flambée des prix du pétrole!!!

     

    Honnêtement je ne vois pas l'impact sur le traffic, pas grand changement, je suppose que les gens qui prennent l'auto le font parcequ'ils n'ont pas vraiment d'alternatives... quelque soit le prix de l'essence.

     

    Regardons les choses ailleurs ou le prix était déjà plus élevé avant la flambée des prix, dans les grandes villes européenes il y a quand même du traffic de fou. Le traffic à long terme n'as rien a voir avec le prix de l'essence, même dans un futur ou les autos rouleront avec une autre énergie que l'essence, le traffic existera. Le lien entre traffic et pollution atmosphérique est temporaire.

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